This study provided the parent-reported prevalence estimates of ADHD, LD, ID, ASD, and other developmental delay in children and adolescents aged 3–17 years. The overall prevalence of any developmental disability did not increase significantly during this period. Approximately one in six children and adolescents aged 3–17 years in the US were reported by their parents to have any developmental disability during the period of 2018–2021. Additionally, the latest data from NHIS indicated that prevalence estimates of ADHD, LD, ASD, and ID were mostly similar to those reported in previous years. Moreover, we also found that the prevalence of other developmental delay and co-occurring LD & ID were significantly increased.
From the results, we observed that the prevalence of developmental disabilities in 2021 was lower than that in 2020. The COVID-19 pandemic may have indirectly influenced the prevalence of developmental disabilities by affecting people’s lifestyles, healthcare access, and social support systems15. For instance, since the onset of the pandemic, disruptions in services for children with developmental disabilities in the United States and a transition to remote healthcare have been widespread15. While most developmental disabilities (ADHD, LD, ASD, and ID) did not show an increasing trend during the period of this study from 2018 to 2021, the prevalence of developmental disabilities appeared to be higher compared to findings from previous research. It should be noted that changes in diagnostic criteria may have an impact on the reported overall prevalence rates provided in this study. DSM-5, the fifth edition of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, was implemented in 2013, replacing DSM-IV16,17. For developmental disabilities, DSM-5 introduced significant changes to the diagnostic criteria, which could affect the prevalence rates16,17. For instance, DSM-5 revised the age range and subtype diagnosis for ADHD, merged the diagnoses of ASD into a unified concept, and made adjustments to the classification and assessment of LD and ID16,17. These changes may have an impact on the prevalence rates, and further research and data are needed to evaluate the specific effects.
Attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder
The overall weighted prevalence of ADHD in 2018–2021 was 9.57% and there was not a significant increase in the prevalence of ADHD during this period. The prevalence in this study was higher than the community prevalence globally (ranged from 2 to 7%) from a systematic review in 201818, very similar to the results from 2015–2017 (9.54%) to 2017–2018 (9.6%) of NHIS1,6, and slightly lower than the prevalence reported from 2016 to 2019 (9.8%) of National Survey of Children’s Health (NSCH)6. In addition, this study found that the prevalence of co-occurring ADHD & LD was similar to the 3.7% prevalence of both conditions in children and adolescents aged 6 to 17 reported by the NHIS from 2004 to 200611. The annual prevalence of ADHD has not changed much in recent years. Notably, the estimated prevalence of ADHD among U.S. individuals in this study was higher than the prevalence estimated in 1997–1998 (6.1%)19. In theory, the increased prevalence may be due to increased awareness of ADHD and its different manifestations19.
Given that ADHD has a high prevalence that persists into adult life, individuals with this condition face an increased risk of adverse outcomes6,7. Thus timely identification and treatment of children and adolescents with ADHD provides an opportunity to improve long-term outcomes. However, as a neurodevelopmental disorder, ADHD has a highly complex etiology. Both genetic risk factors and environmental risk factors are believed to contribute to the development of ADHD5. The contributions of these risk factors to the etiologic source of ADHD, both separately and jointly, warrant further investigation.
Moreover, we found that the prevalence of co-occurring ADHD & LD was higher than co-occurring ADHD & other developmental disabilities. It’s not uncommon for individuals with ADHD to also experience co-occurring LD, ASD, or ID11,14,20. It is worth noting that the co-occurring ADHD & LD can introduce additional complexity to the educational setting11. The presence of ADHD, ASD, and ID can complicate diagnostic and intervention efforts because some symptoms overlap, for example, difficulties with attention and impulsivity are all common symptoms of ADHD, ASD, and ID14. This further emphasizes the complexity of developmental disabilities. Further investigation is warranted to assess potentially modifiable risk factors, and provide adequate resources for treatment of affected individuals in the future.
Learning disability
This study did not find a significant increase in the prevalence of LD among children and adolescents in the US, nor did previous study observe a significant increase in LD prevalence1. The observed prevalence of LD was similar to the prevalence in 2015–2018 (7.7%) and in 2015–2017 (7.86%) from NHIS1,2. These data indicate that LD is a common chronic condition among US children, affecting about 8 in 100 overall. LD is difficult to diagnose and older children may have higher prevalence rate due to longer exposure to the possibility of evaluation and diagnosis11. Notably, the Response to Intervention (RTI) framework is used in US schools to provide early interventions for students’ academic and behavioral success21,22. By intervening early and offering various levels of support, the RTI framework can potentially result in improved academic outcomes for many students21,22. Thus, the RTI framework could have implications for the diagnosis of LD.
This study found that the prevalence of co-occurring LD & ID showed a significant increase trend. Although LD and ID are clinically regarded as distinct conditions, both LD and ID can involve difficulties with learning and academic achievement8,9,11,14. This could imply deeper associations, such as shared genetic factors, overlapping neurodevelopmental pathways, and more. Future research will need to delve deeper into this issue, including exploring potential influencing factors, examining relationships between variables, and assessing how this trend might impact clinical practices and intervention strategies. Moreover, LD may prevent children from reaching their full potential and cause educational, social, and economic burdens8. The consensus among experts and scholars is that children who exhibit signs of LD should be identified and intervened as early as possible, because the beneficial effects of early identification and intervention are clear8.
Autism spectrum disorder
The parent-reported lifetime prevalence from this study was higher than the reported results in 2014–2016 (2.47%) and in 2017–2018 (2.4%)6,23. The observed prevalence was also higher than the prevalence in 2018 (2.30%) from the Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring Network (ADDM), which assesses the prevalence of currently diagnosed children with autism24. Additionally, the observed prevalence was higher than the prevalence in 2016 (2.50%) from NSCH25, slightly lower than the prevalence in 2016–2019 (3.1%) from NSCH and the prevalence in 2019–2020 (3.14%) from NHIS6,13. A review in 2012 commissioned by WHO estimated the global prevalence of ASD at about 1%26, and systematic review analysis of the global prevalence of ASD from 2008 to 2022 showed that the prevalence of ASD in Asia, America, Europe, Africa and Australia was 0.4%, 1%, 0.5%, 1%, and 1.7% respectively27. Additionally, this study also found that among the co-occurring developmental disabilities investigated in this study, the prevalence of co-occurring LD & ASD, co-occurring ADHD & LD & ASD, and co-occurring LD & ASD & ID were high; and it has been pointed out that the rate of co-occurring ASD and ID is high14.
Estimates of prevalence vary from study to study in different countries27. Variations in prevalence stem from differences in diagnostic standards and practices, cultural influences, healthcare access, study designs and protocols, and awareness levels27. ASD primarily impacts social communication and behavior habits, and may affect the typical development of children and adolescents27,28. Considering ASD is a lifetime diagnosis, parents of children with ASD face addition challenges in ensuring their child is provided with treatment, services, and necessary resources26,27,28. There are also varying degrees of ASD and some children with ASD may not be able to live independently which places additional strain on caregivers, healthcare systems, and the economy26,27,28. Study suggested that total costs attributable to ASD will rise to more than 450 billion dollars by 202528. It is common for ASD to co-occur with other developmental disabilities. ASD may be caused by the interaction of genetic and environmental factors, that is, genetic abnormalities cause a particular individual’s genetic susceptibility, and adverse environmental factors before conception, during pregnancy, or during childbirth are the trigger factors for the condition27,29. The contribution of these non-genetic and genetic risk factors to the etiological source of ASD deserves further investigation.
Intellectual disability
The results of this study indicated no significant increase in the prevalence of individuals diagnosed with ID from 2018 to 2021, but the overall prevalence was higher than in previous studies. In this study, the overall prevalence of ID was higher than that of the (ADDM) among eight-year-old children in 2014 (1.2%) and the reported prevalence in 2015–2017 (1.17%) from NHIS1,10. In 2019, systematic review reported the prevalence ranged from 1.10 to 1.34% in children and adolescents with ID in 2010 or later, a range smaller than the prevalence reported by this study (1.33–2.19%)30. It is worth noting that past increases in the prevalence of ID appear to be related to changes in the terminology of survey questions in the NHIS. From 1997 to 2010, when the survey asked about “mental retardation”, the NHIS has updated the term to “intellectual disability”, also known as “mental retardation” since 201130. The prevalence of ID was relatively stable (7.1 or 7.8 per 1000) during the 1997–2010 study period, but increased by 72% in 2011–20131,30. Although this study used the same terminology, the prevalence of ID described in this report was higher than that described in previous reports using NHIS data1,2,30. As a severe lifelong disability, the most common causes of ID are birth defects and genetic conditions. In addition, the risk of ID is increased by older maternal age at childbirth, lower maternal education, lower socioeconomic status and so on10. Future studies could further explore the interactions among different factors to gain a more comprehensive insight into the mechanisms and preventative measures associated with intellectual disabilities.
Other developmental delay
In this study, other developmental delay showed a statistically significant increase over time, contrary to a statistically significant decrease in 2009 to 2017 reported by Zablotsky, et al.1. The possible reason for the reduced prevalence seen in the study by Zablotsky and colleagues was that children have increasingly been diagnosed with another specified condition on the survey, so the parents have become less likely to select this category1. Notably, the questionnaire of NHIS underwent a significant redesign in 2019 to reduce the burden on respondents and align its content with other federal health surveys30. With these changes, some conditions will no longer be included in NHIS, such as cerebral palsy, seizures and stuttering or stammering, which could result in higher prevalence of other developmental delay in 2019 to 2021 (5.07–6.05%) than in 2015–2017(4.06%) and 2018 (4.02%)1,30. The prevalence of cerebral palsy, seizures and stuttering or stammering had not increased significantly in the decades before the 2019 questionnaire redesign1,30. But a true increase of other developmental delay in the study years assessed, which did not include cerebral palsy, seizures, and stuttering or stammering, cannot be ruled out. Supporting this notion, evidence revealed that the prevalence of other developmental delays in the NHIS survey increased from 3.57% in 2014 to 4.55% in 201613. According to the NSCH report in 2016, less than a third of children aged 9 to 35 months had received standardized parent-completed developmental screening from healthcare professionals in the past year, and only one in five of those children received both screening and surveillance31. Extensive medical and developmental assessments are needed to detect developmental delays at an early age, and development outcomes for all children can be greatly improved through systematic screening and development surveillance for children.
Co-occurring developmental disabilities
This survey showed that co-occurring LD & ID showed significant increase over time. In addition, this study also found that among the co-occurring developmental disabilities investigated in this study, the prevalence of co-occurring ADHD & LD, co-occurring LD & ASD, co-occurring ADHD & LD & ASD, co-occurring ADHD & LD & ID, and co-occurring LD & ASD & ID were high in children and adolescents. A whole population study from Scotland’s Census 2011 census reported that 21.7% of people with ID also had ASD and 18.0% of those with ASD also had an ID32. Approximately 4.7% of US children and adolescents aged 6 to 17 have ADHD without LD, 4.9% have LD without ADHD, and 3.7% have both conditions in NHIS 2004–200611.
The increase in co-occurrence of LD and ID may be due to shared risk factors, cognitive similarities, challenges in early identification, and ambiguous diagnostic criteria8,9,11,14. Despite this overlap, it’s important to differentiate between LD and ID as their intervention needs vary8,9,11,14. Notably, one of the developmental disabilities may exacerbate or mitigate the typical symptoms of the other, which may complicate differential diagnosis or delay diagnosis and thus miss opportunity for treatment9,14,32. In addition, they may be associated in nature33,34, and future research should focus not only on exploring risk factors and etiology of co-occurring developmental disabilities, but also on perfecting diagnostic criteria for highly co-occurring conditions.
Demographic and socioeconomic characteristics
There was significant difference across age, sex, race/ethnicity, family income levels, and geographic region for percentage among children and adolescents with any developmental disabilities in this study. Similar to previous surveys, the percentage of developmental disabilities did vary significantly by age, sex, race/ethnicity, or family income level1,4,6,13,35. Children and adolescents with a higher prevalence of any developmental disabilities were observed to be older (12–17 years old), boys, non-Hispanic, less educational level of family members, and lower family income to poverty ratio. These may be due to the fact that younger children are less likely to be screened or diagnosed11,31, biological or sex-specific manifestations35,36, and black individuals have improved access to health care in recent years37. In addition, children living in poverty experience adverse early experiences, such as inadequate stimulation or life stress, with exposure to multiple risks that affect brain development38. The brain develops rapidly in early life, and early childhood is a critical period for a child’s cognitive, language, social, emotional and motor development38. Impaired brain development may lead to a higher susceptibility to developmental disabilities38. Children living in poverty have poorer grades in school or lower educational attainment, which ultimately lead to lower wages and income in adulthood39.
Strengths and limitations
Our study has several notable strengths. Firstly, it benefits from a nationally representative sample derived from the US population, therefore enhancing the generalizability of our findings to a broader population. Secondly, our study has a large sample size and encompasses a diverse population with varying racial and ethnic backgrounds. This diversity allows us to examine disparities in the prevalence of developmental disabilities across different population characteristics.
However, there are also limitations. Initially diagnoses for all conditions were reported by parents or guardians, which may be subject to misreporting and recall bias, especially among parents of older children. Moreover, because of the cross-sectional design of the NHIS, direction of effects or inferences about causality cannot be made. Additionally, due to changes in the 2019 NHIS redesign, some conditions were removed, such as cerebral palsy, seizures and stuttering or stammering, and the overall prevalence of developmental disabilities may be impacted. Finally, the persistence of developmental disabilities varies depending on the conditions1. As parents reported lifelong diagnoses, some of the children included in the current analysis might no longer have diagnosable developmental disabilities.